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Sick individuals do not all respond to an infection in the same way. One individual may experience mild symptoms and recover easily, while another may suffer devastating illness or even death. A number of factors are often assumed to account for these differences, including the sex, age and genes of the individuals, and differences in the environments the individuals have been exposed to. However, random variations in how an individual’s immune system interacts with the infection could also play an important role in recovery. Duneau et al. have now studied how genetically identical fruit flies who were raised in the same environment respond to different bacterial infections. This enabled them to develop a mathematical model that describes how a bacterial infection develops in an individual. In an initial phase, the bacteria proliferate freely. If the immune defenses activate in time to control the infection, the number of bacteria in the fly decreases to a constant level and the infection enters a long-term, or chronic, phase. The sooner this happens the more likely it is that the fly will survive. If the immune control happens too late, the infection enters a terminal phase and the fly will die once the number of bacteria increases to a certain level. The model therefore reveals that the precise time at which the immune system takes control of the bacterial population – termed the “Time to Control” – determines the outcome of the infection. Duneau et al. confirmed this by injecting bacteria into identical flies. A small variation in the Time to Control was sometimes the difference between a fly living or dying. Understanding what controls this apparently random variation is key to understanding infection and potentially developing more efficient treatments for a wide range of diseases – not just those caused by bacteria, but also those caused by viruses and parasites, like HIV and malaria.